Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.868390 4.613668 5.444006 6.434800 7.581819 8.864781 10.405166
2025-08-31 2.790813 3.743870 4.916112 6.451992 8.397792 10.766161 13.850555
2025-09-07 2.101733 3.114138 4.466403 6.378537 8.981643 12.366378 17.058039
2025-09-14 1.573796 2.550528 3.954534 6.076653 9.149526 13.374061 19.541388
2025-09-21 1.270677 2.228874 3.697419 6.047867 9.633692 14.797843 22.665738
2025-09-28 1.043498 1.969930 3.475926 6.014591 10.072384 16.160798 25.789253
2025-10-05 0.944131 1.897906 3.527653 6.396683 11.162676 18.557537 30.610949
2025-10-12 0.830706 1.776385 3.472871 6.586951 11.953783 20.549169 34.962490
2025-10-19 0.748856 1.695977 3.472913 6.861359 12.898019 22.844344 39.948582
2025-10-26 0.645727 1.552407 3.333933 6.865904 13.372972 24.403860 43.855554
2025-11-02 0.533196 1.365398 3.081714 6.624445 13.380116 25.169212 46.492806
2025-11-09 0.441591 1.203840 2.852456 6.391461 13.367549 25.882850 49.072061
2025-11-16 0.382378 1.106155 2.743129 6.387648 13.794766 27.424135 53.237151
2025-11-23 0.333393 1.022576 2.650924 6.406496 14.266619 29.082817 57.732504
2025-11-30 0.285614 0.930629 2.524345 6.334014 14.546165 30.403568 61.705741
2025-12-07 0.232318 0.809709 2.308513 6.034144 14.325844 30.757046 63.914918
2025-12-14 0.201650 0.745447 2.218677 6.005578 14.665692 32.206497 68.265048
2025-12-21 0.175176 0.686740 2.132420 5.972520 14.989171 33.642075 72.675272
2025-12-28 0.168874 0.691122 2.212980 6.352261 16.256923 37.057717 81.138926
2026-01-04 0.155548 0.668644 2.216785 6.541362 17.110940 39.683940 88.196943
2026-01-11 0.146279 0.657986 2.251987 6.814095 18.180032 42.823726 96.458505
2026-01-18 0.129497 0.615271 2.187395 6.818612 18.621010 44.670193 102.206848
2026-01-25 0.108254 0.548658 2.039007 6.578627 18.453077 45.200177 105.280506